◆ Global Threat Matrix
Live
▼
| Theater | Threat Level | Trend | Primary Indicators | Key Developments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Europe | Critical | ▲ ESC | Force posture, EW activity, GPS denial | Kaliningrad jamming radius expanded to 350km; Baltic air intercepts up 40% |
| Middle East | High | ▲ ESC | Maritime chokepoints, ISR tempo, drone activity | Strait of Hormuz transit delays; Iranian IRGCN fast-boat activity elevated |
| Indo-Pacific | High | ► STB | PLAN deployment, ADIZ incursions, mil exercises | Shandong CSG operating east of Taiwan; 12 PLAAF sorties crossed median line |
| North Atlantic | Moderate | ▲ INC | Submarine activity, GIUK gap surveillance | Russian SSN transited GIUK gap; NATO P-8A surge patrols active |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | Moderate | ► STB | PMC activity, piracy, instability indicators | Wagner/Africa Corps repositioning in Sahel; Gulf of Guinea piracy uptick |
| Americas | Low | ▼ DEC | NORAD intercepts, narco-sub detection | Routine NORAD operations; 2 narco-semi-submersibles interdicted Eastern Pacific |
✈ Air Domain — ISR / Military Tracks
14 Tracks
▼
ACTIVE
HOMER71
RC-135V Rivet Joint
AOR: Baltic / Kaliningrad
Alt: FL310
Track: Racetrack orbit
Msn: SIGINT collection
Alt: FL310
Track: Racetrack orbit
Msn: SIGINT collection
ACTIVE
FORTE12
RQ-4B Global Hawk
AOR: Black Sea
Alt: FL550
Track: Crimea littoral
Msn: ISR / EO-IR / SAR
Alt: FL550
Track: Crimea littoral
Msn: ISR / EO-IR / SAR
ACTIVE
TITUS25
P-8A Poseidon
AOR: GIUK Gap
Alt: FL250
Track: ASW barrier patrol
Msn: Submarine tracking
Alt: FL250
Track: ASW barrier patrol
Msn: Submarine tracking
ACTIVE
MAGIC86
E-3G AWACS
AOR: Poland / Baltics
Alt: FL290
Track: Orbit — Łask AB
Msn: Air battle mgmt
Alt: FL290
Track: Orbit — Łask AB
Msn: Air battle mgmt
ACTIVE
DUKE34
RC-135U Combat Sent
AOR: Eastern Med
Alt: FL280
Track: Syrian coast
Msn: ELINT collection
Alt: FL280
Track: Syrian coast
Msn: ELINT collection
ACTIVE
LAGR223
MQ-9A Reaper
AOR: Strait of Hormuz
Alt: FL200
Track: Overwatch orbit
Msn: Maritime ISR
Alt: FL200
Track: Overwatch orbit
Msn: Maritime ISR
⚠ Emergency Squawk Alerts — Last 24h
7700
Turkish B738 — LTFM → LTAI — Engine indication, diverted safely
// 0312Z
7600
LY462 — B789 — Comm failure over Eastern Med, comms restored
// 0847Z
7700
UAE A380 — Medical emergency enroute OMDB → EGLL
// 1423Z
⚓ Maritime Domain — Naval Order of Battle
8 Groups
▼
| Vessel/Group | Type | Position / AOR | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| USS Dwight D. Eisenhower CSG | CVN-69 + escorts | Eastern Med — 34°N 32°E | Force projection posture; CAP operations active |
| Shandong CSG (CV-17) | PLAN Carrier Group | Philippine Sea — 22°N 128°E | Extended deployment; J-15 flight ops observed |
| HMS Queen Elizabeth CSG | CVF + NATO escorts | Norwegian Sea — 68°N 5°E | NATO exercise NORDIC SHIELD; ASW operations |
| Admiral Kuznetsov | RU CV (degraded) | Barents Sea — 69°N 33°E | Limited operational status; tug escort observed |
| IRGCN Fast Attack Group | FAC swarm (8-12) | Strait of Hormuz — 26°N 56°E | Elevated harassment activity; 3 close approaches to merchants |
| Russian SSN (Yasen-class) | Nuclear submarine | GIUK Gap — est. 62°N 15°W | Transiting southbound; P-8A tracking active |
| PLA Navy Luyang III DDG x3 | Type 052D destroyers | South China Sea — 14°N 114°E | Patrol near Scarborough Shoal; weapons radar active |
| JMSDF Izumo DDH | Helicopter carrier | East China Sea — 28°N 127°E | ISR operations; monitoring PLAN Shandong CSG |
◎ GPS Jamming / Spoofing — Active Zones
Live
▼
KALININGRAD
54.7°N 20.5°E
350km / S10
54.7°N 20.5°E
350km / S10
E.MED/SYRIA
35.2°N 35.8°E
200km / S8
35.2°N 35.8°E
200km / S8
HORMUZ
26.5°N 56.2°E
150km / S7
26.5°N 56.2°E
150km / S7
BLACK SEA
43.5°N 34.0°E
180km / S6
43.5°N 34.0°E
180km / S6
SCS
16°N 112°E
100km / S5
16°N 112°E
100km / S5
Critical (S9-10)
High (S7-8)
Moderate (S5-6)
| Zone | Coords | Radius | Intensity | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaliningrad | 54.7°N 20.5°E | 350 km | S10 Critical | Baltic commercial aviation rerouting; GPS-denied for 12h+ |
| Eastern Med / Syria | 35.2°N 35.8°E | 200 km | S8 High | Cyprus FIR affected; maritime nav alerts issued |
| Strait of Hormuz | 26.5°N 56.2°E | 150 km | S7 High | GPS spoofing; vessels reporting false positions |
| Black Sea | 43.5°N 34.0°E | 180 km | S6 Moderate | Crimea-sourced; intermittent disruptions to shipping |
| South China Sea | 16.0°N 112.0°E | 100 km | S5 Moderate | Paracel Islands area; low-level interference pattern |
◐ Satellite Coverage — Reconnaissance Assets
8 Assets
▼
| Designation | Operator | Orbit | Alt (km) | Resolution | Coverage Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA-224 (KH-11) | NRO | LEO | 260 | ~0.1m | Eastern Europe, Black Sea — 0742Z / 1918Z |
| USA-314 (KH-11) | NRO | LEO | 265 | ~0.1m | Indo-Pacific, SCS — 0854Z / 2031Z |
| Lacrosse-5 (SAR) | NRO | LEO | 720 | ~1m SAR | All-weather imaging — Ukraine theater |
| WorldView-3 | Maxar | SSO | 617 | 0.31m | Middle East, Strait of Hormuz — 1045Z |
| Pléiades Neo 3 | Airbus | SSO | 620 | 0.3m | Baltic Sea, Kaliningrad — 0923Z |
| Sentinel-1B | ESA | SSO | 693 | 5m C-band SAR | Maritime domain — global ship detection |
| Jilin-1 (Cluster) | CGST (PRC) | SSO | 535 | 0.75m / Video | Western Pacific; high revisit rate |
| Cosmos 2558 | RF MoD | LEO | 440 | Unknown (inspector) | Tracking USA-326; co-orbital inspection profile |
▣ Incident Log — 24h Event Timeline
12 Events
▼
0115Z
Kaliningrad GPS jamming sphere expanded from 280km to 350km radius. Baltic states issue NOTAM. 14 commercial flights rerouted.
CONFIRMED
0247Z
Russian Yasen-class SSN detected transiting GIUK Gap southbound. NATO P-8A surge initiated from Keflavik.
CONFIRMED
0312Z
SQUAWK 7700 — Turkish Airlines B738 (TK2847) engine indication over Antalya. Diverted LTAI. Landed safely.
CONFIRMED
0430Z
IRGCN fast boats conducted close approach (300m) to MV Pacific Voyager in Strait of Hormuz. Warning shots reported.
UNCONFIRMED
0615Z
12 PLAAF aircraft (8x J-16, 4x H-6K) crossed Taiwan Strait median line. ROC F-16Vs scrambled.
CONFIRMED
0742Z
USA-224 (KH-11) pass over Kaliningrad — new S-400 battery deployment confirmed at 54.68°N 20.44°E.
CONFIRMED
0923Z
AIS dark contact detected off Libyan coast. Possible Wagner-affiliated cargo vessel based on prior track history.
UNCONFIRMED
1045Z
Shandong CSG observed launching J-15 sorties (est. 8 aircraft). Operating 180nm east of Taiwan.
CONFIRMED
1312Z
Cosmos 2558 maneuvered within 25km of USA-326 — co-orbital inspection pattern. Space Command monitoring.
DEVELOPING
1530Z
USCG interdicted 2 narco semi-submersibles in Eastern Pacific. Approx 4 metric tons of cocaine seized.
CONFIRMED
1715Z
Gulf of Guinea — tanker MV HELM TIDE reported suspicious approach by 2 skiffs off Bonny Island, Nigeria. No boarding.
UNCONFIRMED
1850Z
NATO AWACS detected unusual Russian EW emissions from Crimea. Pattern consistent with Murmansk-BN system activation.
CONFIRMED